Final Oscars Predictions: Original Song – Will It be the Energetic ‘Naatu Naatu’ or the Emotional ‘Lift Me Up’ to Win It All?

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: March 9, 2023

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2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Song

Rihanna -- SuperBowl
Rihanna during the Super Bowl Halftime Show

CATEGORY COMMENTARY:

This race is closer than people may be aware of. “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR” is still considered the favorite, but Rihanna’s Super Bowl performance helped the “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” campaign. Also, I think many ballots with Angela Bassett as supporting actress likely have “Lift Me Up” as well. The same could be said for Lady Gaga with “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick,” nominated for best picture.

Lady Gaga, who’s not performing, could also factor into a down-the-line vote for “Top Gun: Maverick” and David Byrne for “Everything Everywhere All at Once.”

Will Win: “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR” (Variance Films) – Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj
Could Win: “Lift Me Up” from “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”)
Should Win: “Naatu Naatu” from “RRR”
Should have been here: “Love is Not Love” from “Bros” (Universal Pictures) – Marc Shaiman and Billy Eichner

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective. To see the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

See the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar for all key dates and timelines.

Countdown to the Oscars with Variety here.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Nominees Are:

Rank

Film

Song Title

Distributor

1

“RRR”

“Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul Sipligunj

Variance Films

A fictitious story about two legendary revolutionaries and their journey away from home before they stLofty Sky Distributiond fighting for their country in the 1920s.

2

“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”

“Lift Me Up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan Coogler

Marvel Studios

The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.

3

“Top Gun: Maverick”

“Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and Bloodpop

Paramount Pictures

After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN’s elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.

4

“Everything Everywhere All at Once”

“This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and Mitski

A24

An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.

5

“Tell It Like a Woman”

“Applause” by Diane Warren

Samuel Goldwyn Films

Stories of women, both in front of and behind the camera.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2023.

2022 category winner: "No Time to Die" by Billie Eilish and Finneas from "No Time to Die" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

About Variety Awards Circuit:

Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online and provides inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes -- Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable discussion with Variety's leading editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions Video Series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading pundits.

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